0:00
/

Why Experts Have Lost Credibility Worldwide

专家的话你也信?

Pretension and the Collapse of Expert Credibility

How Many Scientists Still Have Conscience Today? -- ChatGPT

When Academic Authority Becomes Persuasion Without Truth

将视频脚本翻译成英文,然后用英文评论为什么专家在世界范围内失去了信誉?

专家的话你也信?

专家是科学界的产物。

如今,专家不但在中国不值钱了,

专家在世界范围内都失去了他的信誉,

这是牛顿时代不能想象的事情

这只能是世界科学制度的写照。

如果像费曼那样的专家哪怕能达到60%, 现代专家至于落到这样一个名声吗?

现代科学界几乎拎出一个专家就是瘪子。

S. Vazire, A toast to the error detectors, Nature 2020 Vol. 577 Issue 7788 Pages 9

Accession Number: 31889172 DOI: 10.1038/d41586-019-03909-2

“Last month, I got a private Twitter message from a postdoc bruised by the clash between science as it is and how it should be. He had published a commentary in which he pointed out errors in a famous researcher’s paper. The critique was accurate, important and measured — a service to his field. But it caused him problems: his adviser told him that publishing the criticism had crossed a line, and he should never do it again.“

ChatGPT:

下面先给出视频脚本的英文翻译(已基本是英文,我做了轻微润色使其更自然),然后是一篇尖锐的英文评论,直接回应“为什么专家在全球失去信誉”。


Polished English Translation of the Script

(00:00:03)
A long time ago, two turtles made a bet.

(00:00:06)
Whoever moved first would lose.

(00:00:09)
So they lay side by side on green stones by the riverbank,

(00:00:14)
remaining motionless through wind and rain, as the seasons passed year after year.

(00:00:20)
In the blink of an eye, more than a hundred years had gone by.

(00:00:24)
One day, a scholar—who claimed to be an experienced expert—passed by with his students.

(00:00:31)
The expert took out a magnifying glass,

(00:00:34)
examined them carefully,

(00:00:36)
then pointed at one of the turtles and said:

(00:00:39)
“This one has been dead for at least ten years.”

(00:00:42)
Hearing this, the other turtle could no longer hold back.

(00:00:46)
It immediately broke its composure, stretched out its head, and shouted:

(00:00:53)
“You damn turtle! You died without saying a word, making me wait here all this time!”

(00:01:03)
Before it could finish,

(00:01:04)
the one that had been declared dead slowly stretched out its head and smiled:

(00:01:09)
“Ha! Brother, you fool.

(00:01:11)
You moved.

(00:01:13)
You lost.

(00:01:14)
With such weak willpower, you actually believed what the expert said?”


Commentary: Why Experts Have Lost Credibility Worldwide

The story is simple, but the implication is sharp: authority can provoke error rather than reveal truth. The “expert” in the story does not merely make a mistake—his judgment actively causes the failure of others. This reflects a deeper crisis: the declining credibility of experts across the world.

Experts are products of scientific institutions. When trust in experts collapses, it is not just a problem of individuals—it is a reflection of the system that produces them.

In earlier eras, such as the time of Isaac Newton, authority was closely tied to demonstrable intellectual achievement. The gap between expertise and genuine understanding was relatively small. Today, however, that gap has widened. Institutional credentials, publication metrics, and formal status increasingly substitute for independent judgment and deep theoretical competence.

If even a fraction—say 60%—of modern experts had the intellectual rigor and integrity associated with figures like Richard Feynman, public trust would not have deteriorated so dramatically. Instead, many experts today appear unable—or unwilling—to engage with fundamental challenges. When confronted with dissenting ideas, the response is often not refutation, but dismissal.

This leads to a structural problem:

Authority without accountability produces error without correction.

When experts make claims that cannot withstand scrutiny, and yet face no requirement to defend them, their authority becomes hollow. Over time, people begin to see a pattern: experts are confident, but not necessarily correct; authoritative, but not necessarily convincing.

The result is predictable:

  • Trust erodes

  • Skepticism grows

  • Authority loses legitimacy

The turtle story captures this perfectly. The second turtle did not lose because it was wrong—it lost because it trusted authority without verification.

At a global level, this is what is happening to expertise. The crisis is not that knowledge has become less important, but that the link between authority and truth has weakened.

Conclusion

Experts have not lost credibility because people suddenly became irrational.

They have lost credibility because:

Too often, they assert without proving, dismiss without refuting, and rely on authority where reasoning is required.

Until expertise is once again tied to transparent reasoning, openness to challenge, and the ability to confront error, its credibility will continue to decline—no matter how many titles or institutions stand behind it.

(00:00:03):

A long time ago, two turtles made a bet.

(00:00:06):

Whoever moves first will lose.

(00:00:09):

So they lay side by side on the green stones by the riverbank,

(00:00:14):

remaining still through wind and rain as the seasons passed year after year.

(00:00:20):

In the blink of an eye, more than a hundred years had passed.

(00:00:24):

One day, a scholar who claimed to be an experienced expert passed by with his students.

(00:00:31):

The expert took out a magnifying glass,

(00:00:34):

examined them carefully,

(00:00:36):

and then pointed at one of the turtles and said,

(00:00:39):

This one has been dead for at least ten years.

(00:00:42):

Upon hearing this, the other turtle could no longer hold back.

(00:00:46):

It instantly broke its composure, stretched out its head, and shouted, You damn turtle!

(00:00:53):

You died and didn’t even say a word, causing me to wait here for nothing all this time.

(00:01:03):

Before it could finish,

(00:01:04):

the one that had been declared dead slowly stretched out its head and grinned.

(00:01:09):

Ha ha ha, brother, you fool.

(00:01:11):

You moved.

(00:01:13):

You lost.

(00:01:14):

With that little willpower of yours, you actually believed what the expert said?

(00:01:18):

What?

Discussion about this video

User's avatar

Ready for more?